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Your Morning Dump… Where the Celtics are prepared to overpay a second-tier free agent?

Chuck - Red's Army April 30, 2015 Free Agency, The Morning Dump 18 Comments

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Every morning, we compile the links of the day and dump them here… highlighting the big story line. Because there’s nothing quite as satisfying as a good morning dump.

Many of the would-be big-name targets appear likely to return to their current teams. Love and LaMarcus Aldridge could potentially test the market, but another group of high-profile free agents – which includes Draymond Green, Kawhi Leonard and Jimmy Butler – are highly doubtful to go anywhere.

As this past season wound down, league sources told MassLive.com that the Celtics, if they cannot hit a home run, are prepared to offer what looks like an “overpay” to a second-tier free agent. The idea would be to acquire an improving player on a contract he could grow into. With the salary cap set to rise in unprecedented leaps and bounds, a deal signed this summer will appear very different in the coming years – especially if the acquired player adds to his game.

At the trade deadline, Boston was linked to impending free agents Reggie Jackson and Enes Kanter. But the Celtics are said to be lukewarm about both young talents. They are not totally sold on Jackson’s worth, and he would not be the best fit on a roster that already includes Marcus Smart, Avery Bradley and Isaiah Thomas. As for Kanter, the Celtics are not convinced he would qualify as a major improvement over their young big men, including Tyler Zeller, Jared Sullinger and Kelly Olynyk. There is also a fear that Kanter – who clearly had no love for the Utah Jazz – has an inflated sense of self-worth that detracts from his ability to fit into a team concept.

Mass Live

Seems like a logical approach by the Celtics. The real question is…who are the second tier free agents and how much are they worth? You absolutely can’t afford to sink $12-15 million into a guy and get a bust (see Stephenson, Lance).

In a post yesterday, Alex threw out names like Wesley Matthews, Omer Asik, and Robin Lopez. You could add Paul Milsap, Danny Green, DeMarre Carroll and Tobias Harris to that list. (Here’s a list of all FAs to be – tell us who you like.)

Because the Celtics have so much flexibility, I find it nearly impossible to predict their direction. If I had to choose, I would say the back court (Marcus Smart, Avery Bradley and Isaiah Thomas) stays intact. I want Smart to become the starting point guard. Evan Turner was solid as a point forward, but he’s not a long term solution. Jae Crowder will be back. And unless he’s part of some blockbuster, I think Kelly Olynyk will be back. His ability to score and create offensive mismatches with opposing bigs is tantalizing. But again, if Danny Ainge has the chance to acquire a cornerstone player, everyone on the roster is available.

Related links: ESPN Boston – Roster reset: Where do Cs go from here

On Page 2, assessing Kevin Love’s financial options.

LoveThese are very large numbers but they are also plain. They’re based on salary-cap projections, so they are not exact, but the picture becomes clear quickly. Here are Love’s estimated salaries based on his choices:

• Sign a five-year max contract with the Cavs this summer: $109 million.

• Sign a four-year max contract with a different team this summer: $80 million.

• Sign a five-year max contract with the Cavs in 2016: $143 million.

• Sign a four-year max contract with a different team in 2016: $106 million.

ESPN

I had all but eliminated Kevin Love as an option for the Celtics, until reading that recent story by Woj. 

Leaving Cleveland would cost Love some $30 million dollars. I’d have to be really pissed off to leave $30 million on the table.

And now he has to deal with the shoulder injury. After undergoing surgery yesterday, Love is going to be out 4-6 months.

We can only hope Love wants to be more than a spot-up shooter in LeBron’s crew. If he comes to Boston, he becomes the guy. Maybe that’s worth more than $30 million.

And finally, the Mavericks players really didn’t like Rajon Rondo.

The Dallas Mavericks opted not to give departed point guard Rajon Rondo a playoff share, sources said.

The other 14 players on the roster evenly divided $208,940, which is awarded to teams that lose in the first round of the playoffs. Houston beat Dallas in five games in the best-of-seven series.

Players determine how the team’s playoff shares are divided. The players did not vote to exclude Rondo, the source said. They were simply presented with a list that did not include him, and there were no objections.

ESPN

I’m sure Rondo doesn’t give a crap about a $14K playoff share, but this is just another example of how poorly he was received in Dallas.

The rest of the links:

Herald – Turner thankful Celtics gave him shot | CSNNE – 5 playoff positioning trades | Smart grows as a player, leader | Cs covering all bases in rebuild

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  • Michael Merriam

    Let’s go for Danny Green. We’ve tried Gerald Green, Oriene Grenne, Jeff Green, (may try and fail to get Draymond), so Danny is a natural fit by name alone. Great 3-point shooter who can defend. Good attitude from a winning team. I don’t know that he’s worth $12mil. Maybe 10?

    Tobias Harris definitely has confidence and can be the go-to guy. I like him at 12-13 mil if the doctors feel ok about his ankles and overall injury history.

    • Mai Gaiaesque

      danny green is 27….for sure he is good at D, but i think he is just a role player.

      • zippittyay

        Being a starter for an NBA Champion team is a good role.

  • Astarot

    Just as I mentioned couple of times the only ways to attract free agents are Celtics history/culture/fanbase and money. They gotta overpay guys otherwise nobody is gonna come here. Why? Well simply cuz’ they don’t have enough talent. There’s of course different strategy convince one of top/close to the top free agents and then another one or two may come. Top free agents I mean Aldridge, Leonard, Gasol, Love. But let’s all be realistic overpaying for second-tier FA will most likely be the road Ainge is gonna go considering his “ability” to negotiate/sign top names. Sure he didn’t have the ton of money and other assets to pull the trade but still he didn’t prove he can be successful on FA market. And the trade is more likely to occur than free agency success (even tough the odds for both are not big). So now those “realistic” targets and the Cs needs: Jordan, Harris, Midelton, Asik, Green (Danny), Matthews. I still think the need for a rim protector is the priority. And that being said I think Brook Lopez is the guy they can target (considering how Brooklyn sucks he may look for a change). Guy like Harris is in the same category (see Orlando). Matthews is the guy to overpay and it also depends what Aldridge will do if he leaves it will get easier. To me there’s one more need I didn’t mention above true pass first point guard. I like Smart and his development but unless he’ll become two way all-around type of guy who does everything on the court he’ll be a shooting guard. But there’s isn’t that kind of guy this year on the market so trade is the only option. What make things even more complicated Ainge’s decisions on the market should depend on the long term strategy (I hope there’s one) I mean 2016 free agency with couple of big names as UFA and bigger salary cap on the horizon. And of course where they’ll go in the draft (up or down in a trade for big name, NBA ready guy, prospect, gamble or guy with the biggest upside) this year and what the strategy will be for 2016 draft with potential cornerstones on the big board. All in all I think there’s a ton of possibilities this year and next to address their needs but you gotta be smart, flexible and ready to pay big cuz their position is not as great as it may look.

    • Nick Ault

      “To me there’s one more need I didn’t mention above true pass first point guard.”
      ..I think Rondo might be available.

      • Astarot

        I don’t know if that was sarcastic or not. I didn’t put his name there for obvious reasons. I’m still a Rondo fan (feel sorry for him) tough I see how his game might not fit into some systems (maybe that was a reason behind his trade – I doubt it tough). There’s not many of them really nowadays in the NBA so it’s gonna be hard to find one. Everyone want a scorer. For me guy who could give them 8-10 ppg and 8 or more assists with a decent D skill set and could get to the free throw line is a perfect player for PG position and guy like IT is great for that slot off the bench.

        • Nick Ault

          I don’t really know what that was either.. Rondo’s was the first jersey I ever spent my hard-earned money on. The kid had hustle, heart, and one of the highest basketball IQs I had ever seen. He is also a moody bitch, can’t shoot a lick, and no longer has any interest in driving the lane or playing D.
          I remember watching the Celtics games during their championship window, Rondo was captivating…especially on nights when he was facing off against Chris Paul, DWill, Steve Nash, Russell Westbrook. Rondo wanted to be the best, and on many nights, he was.
          Long story short, I miss Rondo, but I was thrilled to see him leave.
          I was happy to see him go to Dallas, where I thought he would have the opportunity to get back to being the Rondo we all loved for a time. Maybe not the Rondo that scores 40 points on spectacular drives and improbable 3s, but the Rondo that controlled games by getting into the heads of his opponents like Larry, rebounding like Wilt, and passing like Magic.. For the record, I do not want to see Rondo back in green, just a little nostalgic and bitter I suppose.

  • Jester00

    Andre D, anyone who can knock down a 3 around 40%, this team right now is a ton of role players which is not a bad thing! I love the back court although AB is the most Expendable we could use a 4th guard who can just shoot. Some one who can and will box out would be great, and rim protector. WE Helped our 10 fold when we got rid of JEFF GREEN who is now my all least favorite Celtic as player. (seems like a nice guy though) big Question who comes back???????????

  • Rick Rice

    Is that Sideshow Bob from The Simpson’s in that picture? Or maybe it’s just the hair!

  • RedsLoveChild

    Overpaying for mediocre talent reeks of desperation, panic, and despair…it can only end badly.
    Better off to explore what they can get in return for their slew of draft picks…which, unfortunately, will all be on the not-so-attractive “back-end” of the 1st round.

    Too early to tell if Rondo might need that $14K…in light of the 1-year crap contract some team will soon offer him, to rehabilitate his career/image that is currently in a death spiral. That, too, will end badly for Mr. Unwarranted Arrogance.

    • Curt Hays

      Not disagreeing with you…but if the Cs don’t win the title, then I REALLY hope Rondo wins a championship next year.

  • Rick Rice

    Greg Monroe, Danny Green, Tobias Harris, Kosta Koufos

  • jgtwentysix

    PG) nobody
    SG) Wesley Matthews
    SF) Tobias Harris
    PF) Paul Millsap
    C) DeAndre Jordan
    Utility) PAUL PIERCE

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