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Is Andrew Wiggins the next Luol Deng or Paul George?

Chuck - Red's Army March 21, 2014 Draft News 37 Comments

Wiggins

ESPN Insiders’ Chad Ford and Kevin Pelton offer up differing projections of Kansas star Andrew Wiggins:

Ford: I think Wiggins has the most upside of any player in the draft. His physical gifts are unteachable. His defensive potential is off the charts and while his offense still needs polish, all of the weaknesses in his game are fixable.

I’ve been using the comp of a young Paul George all season.

Pelton: I’d consider George something of a realistic best-case scenario. There’s a 91.8 similarity score between George when he entered the NBA draft as a sophomore and Wiggins now. Wiggins is certainly ahead of where George was as a freshman at Fresno State, and has the tools to make the same kind of impact at both ends, but at the same time George has made a nearly unprecedented leap to NBA superstar in the past five years. It’s hard to expect Wiggins — or anyone — to develop as quickly.

I think the best comparison for Wiggins is a name I haven’t heard yet: Luol Deng. Deng’s translated usage and TS% from his lone season at Duke are nearly identical to Wiggins this season. They’re also similar on the glass, and both are fine individual defenders. Deng comes out with the highest similarity to Wiggins (98.2) of any prospect in my database at the same age.

Not sure about you, but I’m hoping for a lot more than the next Luol Deng out of this year’s draft.

Danny Ainge may never get the chance to draft Wiggins, as the embarrassingly bad 76ers, losers of 22 straight games, reportedly have him atop their draft board. You can watch him today at 4pm as Kansas plays Eastern Kentucky in the NCAA tourney.

In Ford’s latest mock draft (March 5), he has the Celtics selecting Jabari Parker at #4.

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  • ChazzyJoe

    Really? Dante Exum ABOVE Parker?

    • LA Flake

      can’t comment on Exum other than that he has a badass name. Maybe he is the real deal. Who knows?

  • KGino

    Jabari Parker will be a stud in the NBA. That’s the only player I’m 100% sure of in this draft

    • LA Flake

      It’s scary how much he reminds me of Paul Pierce. He’s like a bigger version of the Truth. I’d take him in a heartbeat but I get the hype surrounding Wiggins. His ceiling is higher than Jabari’s and it’ll all come down to how badly he wants to be the best. If his mind is right and puts in the work, he’ll be scary good. And this is where I trust Danny and his brain doctor. They’ll figure him out before the draft.

    • Curt Hays

      Maybe now he’ll go lower in the draft.

      • KGino

        Yea he didn’t play well at all. The NBA game is totally different tho, and his skill set will shine thru way more in an NBA setting

    • Curt Hays

      My prediction: Danny is going to pick Doug McDermott to replace Jeff Green.

      • zippittyay

        With our second pick in the first round?

        • Curt Hays

          Nope

          • John Smith

            Why would he take McDermott with a top 10 pick? And if they get a top 5 pick, it’s not even a possibility.

          • Curt Hays

            I’m not saying that he should go for McDermott. I’m saying that’s what I think will happen. Our chances of getting in the lottery are quite small, so I’m making a prediction that Danny will go gor McDermott considering that we need a small forward and we need a paint protector. Paint protectors are tough to come by

          • John Smith

            The Celtics currently have a top five pick, so they are in the lottery. And how is McDermott a good paint protector? If Ainge wants a paint protector, he should trade up with the Brooklyn pick to get Cauley-Stein.

          • mark cayanan
          • John Smith

            The Lakers have played two less games, so it’s 5/6, that still a high lottery pick and well out of Doug McDermott range.

          • Curt Hays

            I never said he was a paint protector. I said paint protectors are hard to come by, hence we could go with a small forward. The point was that there are no paint protectors to go for.

            I also don’t know how we have a top-five pick if the lottery hasn’t been done yet.

            I made a prediction based on what I think is most likely to happen. The end.

          • John Smith

            ‘our chances of getting in the lottery are quite small’. We currently have a top five pick if the standings stay the same and the lottery plays out accordingly. Cauley-Stein is a good paint protector who might fall to the Hawks pick.

          • Curt Hays

            So I totally misunderstood what I read regarding the lottery. You’re right, I was totally wrong. So if we finish 6th, the the worst we do is the 6th pick.

            Let’s say we get Cauley-Stein…I still say Danny goes for Doug.

          • John Smith

            You said ‘our chance of getting in the lottery are quite small’, we are almost definitely in the lottery, so I have no idea why you said that. If we finish 6th worst, which we’re not, we’re tied for fourth worst, we’ll be picking top 9 and I don’t see how McDermott goes there. Anyway, I just hope we get top 3, so we can get one of those small forwards or Embiid, they fit this team much better than the guards or power forwards further down the board.

            I really can’t tell if you’re being sarcastic or not though.

          • Curt Hays

            Nah, not sarcastic. I feel dumb because I was totally wrong about how the lottery works.

            I was referring to the lottery as a top 5 pick. And I was wrong again, the worst we can do is a 9th pick if we finish 6th, like you said.

            Back to what I was saying originally — there are no paint protectors (unless you count Noah Vonleh) to go after. So Danny either gets lucky and can go after Jabrari, or he gets less lucky and drafts someone as trade bait to package up with Jeff Green. OR…he drafts Doug McDermott and uses Jeff Green to get a paint protector.

          • John Smith

            I could definitely see Ainge getting Cauley-Stein. It’s just annoying how we’ll probably fall outside that potentially franchise altering top 3, and end up with another power forward or point guard.

            I hope Ainge doesn’t get McDermott, I can see him being a complete flop, like Jimmer Fredette.

          • Curt Hays

            I have trouble seeing Doug as a flop. I NEVER saw Jimmer as a big deal. That doesn’t mean I know anything, of course.

            I think Cauley-Stein may be someone to go for later in the draft. I don’t think he’s proven very thoroughly. But I’d by much happier with him than another 6’9″ guy. That’s why I think the most likely case is that Danny will draft someone to trade away in a package with Jeff Green. Hell, he could sign Chris Wilcox, and I’d be happy.

          • RedsLoveChild

            McDermott has to be the real deal.

            He`s been described by late night infomercial king, Kevin Trudeau, as…”the best player in the draft THEY don`t want you to know about!

          • John Smith

            When has a guy like him been successful in the last 15 years?

          • RedsLoveChild

            Forget the last 15 years….when has it ever happened?

            He`ll likely become the next Adam Morrison.

          • KGino

            Don’t worry John, there’s always teams out there like the Cavs who draft Anthony Bennett #1, who reminds me of Eddie Curry so far lol. Top 4 pick will get us one of the 3, I bet.

  • RedsLoveChild

    As if it matters.

    Wiggins, Parker, Embiid, Randle….will all be long gone by the time the “too-proud-to-tank” Celtics get to pick through the remaining garbage.

    • Brad P

      If we were “too proud,” Rondo(one of the most competitive players in the league) would attempt to play back to backs and Stevens would be starting our best frontcourt player(Sully).

      A 23-46 record doesn’t scream “too proud to tank.”

      • RedsLoveChild

        They should have done what Philadelphia did.

        If you`re gonna be “bad”…..be “good” at it.

        • KGino

          pessimism pessimism pessimism

        • tvor03

          Philly went too far in the effort to tank. Now, even with their top three pick, they still won’t be good for another 5 years or so. And the worst team rarely gets the top pick. It’s usually a team that’s sitting right about where we are now.

          Danny’s played it much smarter than Philly. We’re gonna get a high pick, kept our best players in Rondo, Sully, and depending on which night it is Green and Avery, and we’ll have a sizeable amount of capspace. Plus, thanks to Brooklyn, we’re probably going to have three very high draft picks in ’16, ’17, and ’18.

    • LA Flake

      Dudes like Silver and Stern can’t help but rig things. Which means Philly won’t get the top pick. It’ll probably be the Fakers.

  • John Smith

    The top 6 of this draft is strong. Smart, Randle, Wiggins, Parker, Embiid and Exum will all be 1 or 2 options on a very good team one day. The problem for the Celtics is, they fall out of the top 3/4 and they’ll be looking at Vonleh, Randle and Smart, who don’t fit on this team anywhere near as well as the other four.

    If they don’t get Parker, Wiggins or Embiid, I think Rondo is gone.

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