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How we see it goin’ down: Celtics vs Rockets

Chuck - Red's Army November 19, 2013 Previews 7 Comments

Tip: 8PM     Court: Toyota Center     Watch it: CSNNE    Hear it: 98.5 The Sports Hub

Referees: Mike Callahan, Derek Richardson, Gary Zielinski

Line: Houston – 10.5 (o/u 199.5)

Boston Celtics Tickets

The Matchup

Record: 4-7 Record: 7-4
On road: 2-4 At home: 4-0
Streak: Lost 3 Streak: Won 2
 
Leaders Leaders
Buckets: Green (15.5 ppg) Buckets: James Harden (25.2 ppg)
Boards: Faverani (6.2 rpg) Boards: Dwight Howard (14.2 rpg)
Dimes: Crawford (4.5 apg) Dimes: Harden (5.2 apg)
 
For the Stat Geeks: For the Stat Geeks:
Offensive Rating: 100.0 (26th NBA) Offensive Rating: 108.4 (5th NBA)
Defensive Rating: 103.7 (11th NBA) Defensive Rating: 105.8 (21st NBA)
Pace: 94.2 (15th NBA) Pace: 97.6 (6th NBA)

Last time

The teams split (1-1) the season series last year.

This time

Get it to:  Jordan Crawford?

Hand him the keys and get out the way. Houston plays at a frenetic pace and they will essentially force the Celtics to run. Crawford’s shooting has dipped the last two games (8-26) but his season TO/A ratio is a fantastic 3-1.  I love watching Jordan Crawford pass the ball. I repeat, I love watching Jordan Crawford pass the ball.

Gotta stop:  Dwight Howard

It appears Brad Stevens is going with Vitor Faverani in the starting lineup. He might foul out in 4 minutes… or he might dominate if he has an arsenal of fart jokes for Houston’s 7-foot goofball. The problem with collapsing on Howard is that the Rockets love to jack up 3s. Kris Humphries better loosen up those elbows.

The Wild Card:  Chandler Parsons vs Jeff Green

If the Celtics have any chance in this game, Green MUST outplay Parsons. Chandler is averaging 21 ppg over his last 5, while Green is shooting 4-18 in his previous two.

How we see it goin’ down

Houston can score, run, shoot the 3, and offensive rebound. They have a dominant defender in the middle and a dynamic scorer.

The Celtics have a scrappy bench.

I don’t like our chances much in this one.

Celtics 104

Rockets 119

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  • Curt Hays

    We really need Kelly to draw about 6 charges from Harden tonight. Hopefully Dwight spends the whole night laughing at Vitor’s accent. Parosons is going to torch us. Jeremy Lin is going to be looking to hit the open guy on the swing pass or backdoor cut. #letsgoceltics

  • KWAPT

  • Chulinho

    Tonight won’t be pretty.

  • bill_nair

    If we defend the perimeter we got a shot. After watching the Portland and minny games i have a feeling the rockets will run all over us.

    • KWAPT

      Yep. They’re going to run as much as possible and when they’re not they’ll obviously be trying to establish DH in the post. Hoping perhaps we can try going to Sully/Faverani and/or attack the hoop early & often to get Howard in foul trouble early. That would at least slow them down. C’s have to be real careful not to come out firing-up jumpers and letting Rockets get out in transition at will. If so, this one could be very ugly.

  • frickenWaaaltah

    Man up, sic AB on Lin; cry havoc and release the dogs that force turnovers. Convert those transition opportunities and get the midrange shooters going the rest of the time.

    Also somebody should remind Dwight Howard to paint his face. If you’re going to the basket against the Rockets, you’re better off challenging Howard than Asik.

    From the new player tracking data,
    opponent’s field goal attempts against made per game / attempts against per game:
    Asik: 2.3 FGM / 6.3 FGA for 36.8% – very good percentage, one of the best.
    Howard: 5.5 FGM / 11.6 FGA for 47.7 – kinda bad really, especially for Howard.

    Howard is actually tied with Washington’s Gortat for the lead in field goals attempted against (FGAA?) and it’s trending upward. Challenges to Asik started higher and are trending downward. Part of it is the Rockets play a fast pace game and more possessions means more potential challenges, but it’s also that teams are going at Howard and doing ok.

  • Jake Gruber

    As I always say, it would be a huge mistake to double down on Howard. 1. He isn’t good offensively STILL and 2. They can shoot the lights out.