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How we see it goin’ down: Celtics – Bucks

Chuck - Red's Army November 2, 2012 Gametime, Previews 14 Comments

Tip: 7:30 PM     Court: TD Garden    Watch it: CSN  Hear it: WEEI

Referees:   Bill Spooner, David Jones, Violet Palmer

 Get your tickets here

The Matchup

   
Record: 0-1 Record: (2011-12) 31-35
At Home (2011-12): 24-9 On the road: (2011-12) 14-19
Streak: Lost 1 Streak: 0
2011-12 Leaders 2011-12 Leaders
Buckets: Pierce (19.4 ppg) Buckets: Brandon Jennings (19.1 ppg)
Boards: Garnett (8.2 rpg) Boards: Ersan Ilyasova (8.8 ppg)
Dimes: Rondo (11.7 apg) Dimes: Monta Ellis (5.9 apg)
For the Stat Geeks (2011-12 statistics): For the Stat Geeks  (2011-12 statistics):
Offensive Rating: 101.0 (27th NBA) Offensive Rating:  105.5 (13th NBA)
Defensive Rating:  98.2 (1st NBA) Defensive Rating:  105.2 (16th NBA)
Pace:  90.4 (21st NBA) Pace:  93.7 (3rd NBA)

Last time

The Celtics took all three meetings with the Bucks last season by an average of just over 9 points a game.  Rajon Rondo had a triple double (15 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists) in one of those games, and averaged 13 assists a game over the three games.  Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce, and Avery Bradley all took turns leading the team in scoring.

This time

Get it to: Paul Pierce

The Captain loves to set the tone after demoralizing losses, so I expect him to be assertive early. It appears the Bucks will start 2nd year swingman Tobias Harris at small forward, although Scott Skiles isn’t tipping his hand. Harris is a far from a good defender, and fouls a lot (according to ESPN’s Insider scouting report). Pierce should have his way against Harris, Mike Dunleavy or Marquis Daniels.

Gotta stop:  Monta Ellis

Ellis is the Bucks most explosive player and I expect Courtney Lee to draw the defensive assignment. The key to stopping Ellis starts with transition defense, where he excels. We’d rather have Ellis jacking up jump shots, where he’s prone to make bad decisions.

The Wild Card: Ersan Ilyasova

I’m tempted to go with Jeff Green, because, like Paul Pierce, I expect him to feast on the Harris/Dunleavy/Daniels trio. But Ilyasova averaged 18 and 12 vs Boston last season. He’s a tough, scrappy player with range. Boston cannot sleep on this guy. On the flip side, he struggles defensively on the perimeter, so watch for the Celtics to feed KG on the pick-and-pop.

How we see it goin’ down

The Bucks are in a tough spot. As if opening the season in Boston isn’t difficult enough, they get an angry and focused Celtics team looking for payback following a bad loss in Miami. The Celtics can lose this game, if they let Milwaukee run like hell or feast on the offensive boards, two areas where the Bucks excel.

The Bucks aren’t as talented as the Celtics and with the intangibles in Boston’s favor, I like the C’s to win fairly easily:

Celtics 103
Bucks   89

 

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  • http://www.redsarmy.com KWAPT

    So excited for the home opener. Skiles better not be a d*ck and not let Quis get into the game so he can get an ovation.

    • Jayfox

      I know I love Quis. Always a tough and gritty defender and he fit well with our second unit. He also excelled at cutting and slashing when Rondo sets him up right.

  • WinstonSalems

    this is not looking good.

  • Drew

    So remember when the Celtics were supposed to beat the Bucks? About that………

  • eddysamson

    WTF is going on? They are shooting AWEFUL! Every single damn one of it…how can you explain that? The Bucks D isnt even that good its just ALL MISSES ALL NIGHT!

    • eddysamson

      wow this is just plain 100% pathetic. Does JET have ANY points? AT ALL? Wtf Barbosa should be out there, they dont need D they need to catch the fuck up.

  • Tyler

    This team Fuckin Sucks! Thanks a lot DA! Nobody can play a lick of defense and Doc can’t make any coaching adjustments. He needs to go!

  • Drew

    If I hear a lick of pessimism from any fan, I might lose it. In no way at all was any of what happened tonight okay.

  • DJ Bento Box

    AAAAHHHHHH.

    Good old Celtics.

    The Jet is gonna be great!

    Bass and Sully are BEASTS!!

    HA HA!!!

    Back to mediocrity from whence you came, Celtic fans!

  • Chuck C

    SO glad that this team is so much better now without Ray Allen, that guy who carried us for the first half of last season when Pierce and Garnett were out of shape.

    Time to face facts:
    1) Danny Ainge is good but does not understand how Red Auerbach’s loyalty was a part of what made the Celtics a stronger team.
    2) He pissed off a world class player and traded another locker room favorite because of his mancrush on Jeff Green, which will probably never pan out like we dream it will.
    3) Lee, Bradley, Sullinger and Rondo WILL develope chemistry and be scary good, but it won’t arrive until a time when Pierce and Garnett will be either gone or just a shell of their former selves.

    I have been a Celtic fan for 27 years, and I hope I’m not right, but you know what they say about karma, and Danny has earned it.

  • Nora

    Wow, silly to make conclusions after 2 games. A bit fair weather imo. If it turns from days to weeks of the same play then you have a point. BTW Mr. world clas player (or traitor) team just got thumped pretty good by NY and had only 5 points…Guess then that means Heat and Ray are not much better…These are why making conclusions after 2 games is overreacting a bit imo.

  • Nora

    Wolves won tonight, they must be an automatic contender. Hey, it is only 1 game–doesn’t matter here apparently.

  • Caterpillar from Italy

    The thing that schocked me, it was like they didn’t have any training camp at all: terrible D, worst O, Pierce looking 80 years old and KG (our best weapon yesterday anyway..) 78.
    Not to mention the rest of the team, looking like a bunch of friends having some ball in the courtyard.
    What the hell was that? It can’t be the Celtics.

  • Michael Guo

    Chemistry is developing.They are doing better. Just wait and see!