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Red's Army

How we see it goin’ down: The C’s-Sixers series

John - Red's Army (@RedsArmy_John) May 12, 2012 Gametime, Previews, Uncategorized 1 Comment

Schedule: 

                    Game 1 – Tonight at Boston  8 p.m. 
                    Game 2 – Mon at Boston 7 p.m. 
                    Game 3 – Wed at Philadelphia  7 p.m.
                    Game 4 – Fri  at Philadelphia  TBD
                    Game 5 * Mon  May 21 at Boston  TBD    
                    Game 6 * Wed  May 23 at Philadelphia  TBD     
                    Game 7 * Sat  May 26 at Boston  TBD
*if necessary 

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Celtics_76ers_2ndRound

The Matchup

Celtics_text_logo
 
76ers logo

Record: 4-2 Record: 4-2
At home: 3-0 On road: 1-2
Streak: Won 1 Streak: Won 1
    Leaders  Leaders
Buckets: Pierce (21.2 ppg) Buckets: Jrue Holiday (18.2 ppg)
Boards: Garnett (10.5 rpg) Boards: Spencer Hawes (.0 rpg)
Dimes: Rondo (11.8 apg) Dimes: Holiday (4.7 apg)
For the Stat Geeks: For the Stat Geeks: 
Offensive Rating: 97.1 (11th in playoffs) Offensive Rating: 97.6 (10th in playoffs)
Defensive Rating: 91.8 (1st) Defensive Rating: 95.7 (5th)
Pace: 87.9 (T- 9th) Pace: 88.1 (T- 7th)

Last time

The Celtics and Sixers last met in the playoffs in 2002.  The Celtics won the then 5-game series with a Game 5 blowout in which Paul Pierce had 46 points, Antoine Walker had 26. 

The Celtics lost the season series with Philly this year, 2-1, with each game being a blowout

This time

Get it to: Kevin Garnett

Keep the roll going in this series by letting KG do his thing against Spencer Hawes.  Hawes has been playing well, but he's too slow to keep up with KG.  This time around, Garnett will be much more of a spot up guy… using his quickness to his advantage and dusting Hawes out on the perimeter.  Exploit. This. Matchup!

Gotta stop:  Philly's fast break

The Celtics have to do two things they haven't exactly been known for this season: take care of the ball and rebound.  During the Hawks series, however, the Celtics were much better in these weak areas.  They were 7th of the 16 playoff teams in turnover percentage and 5th in defensive rebound percentage.  All things considered, that's an improvement.  

Philadelphia lacks a Paul Pierce-type "go to" guy, which hurts their half court offense.  Some days it will be Lou Williams stepping up… others it will be Andre Iguodala… and every day each guy thinks its him.  Stop the Philly fast break and you'll see a disjointed offense that will struggle to score. 

The Wild Card: The injuries

How will Ray Allen's ankle hold up?  How will Paul Pierce's knee hold up?  What about Greg Stiemsma's foot, Mickael Pietrus hamstring?  

The list goes on and on.  If Ray and Pierce are significantly limited, then the Celtics will have problems… which may be the most obvious statement anyone could make.  Still, that's how it is.  If Pierce can get through the series without making the knee worse and Ray can suck it up and be effective, then this series might not last very long.

 

How we see it goin' down

There was a reason Philly collapsed in the regular season.  They lack a true leader, which means different guys who shouldn't be leaders are vying to become one.  That's a bit of an oversimplification, but that's still true.  

This is playoff basketball, where fast breaks go to die.  If you can't win in the half court and execute a well-defined, well thought out plan, then you're going nowhere.  The Celtics have the experience and the coaching to get the job done.  If the team was healthy, I'd call this a sweep.  But because they're not, and because the Celtics just seem to love making things harder on themselves, I'm going to say Celtics in 5.  

I originally said 6, but then I can't get past the two-days off before playing Game 5 at home.  I'll say the C's win both home games, drop game 3, then finish Philly off.

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  • Kricky

    Good call on KG and the outside game., John. KG was lighting it up all night with those elbow jumpers.
    Love that block by Bradley on Lou Williams, followed by the KG and 1!