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How we see it goin’ down: C’s – Hawks

RedsArmyAdmin April 1, 2011 Uncategorized 1 Comment

Tip: 8:00pm    Court: Phillips Arena   Watch it:  CSN/ESPN    Hear it:  WEEI

Referees:  Monty McCutchen, Tony Brown, Jason Phillips

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The Matchup

Celtics text logo

Hawks text logo
Record: 52-22 (1st Atlantic, 2nd East) Record: 43-32 (3rd Southeast, 5th East)
On The Road: 23-14 At Home: 23-15
Streak: Won 1 Streak: Won 3
Leaders Leaders
Buckets: Pierce (18.7 ppg) Buckets: Joe Johnson (18.5 ppg)
Boards: KG (9.0 rpg) Boards: Al Horford (9.5 rpg)
Dimes: Rondo (11.3 apg) Dimes: Joe Johnson (4.9 apg)
For the Stat Geeks: For the Stat Geeks: 
Offensive Rating: 106.5 (18th NBA) Offensive Rating: 106.4 (19th NBA)
Defensive Rating: 100.1 (2nd NBA) Defensive Rating: 106.3 (13th NBA)
Pace: 90.5 (22nd NBA) Pace: 89.3 (27th NBA)

Last time

Playing without Rajon Rondo, the C's used a total team effort to pull away from the Hawks and win 102-90 back in December.  The Hawks were without Joe Johnson and Jamal Crawford for this game.

This time

Get it to:  Ray Allen

Get this guy hot!  We're going to need him to get in rhythm soon.  So let's start tonight.  He's been off lately so let's get him the ball early, get him going, and watch him break out of the slump with a big shooting night.  Paul Pierce will likely keep doing what he's doing, but the C's need to get Ray going soon to make things easier on offense.

Gotta stop:  Josh Smith

Over the past 4 games, he's averaging 23.5 points and 10 rebounds.  But in the two losses to the C's this year, he's 0-11 with 7 rebounds.  I don't expect him to put up another oh-fer in this one, but if you can limit his scoring and rebounding, you're taking away a big weapon.

The Wild Card:  Delonte West

Rajon Rondo went berzerk last night but he was also gassed.  I'd expect Doc Rivers to keep Rondo on a shorter leash if he can… and that all depends on how well Delonte plays.  If Delonte can come in and let Rondo sit for a few minutes longer, and maybe be more effective down the stretch.

How we see it goin' down

These are not the Hawks we're used to.  They're 25th in points per game, their offensive rating is near the bottom third in the league, and only three teams play at a slower pace.  The C's will usually win when this is the chosen style of play.

BUT… 

The C's played a huge game last night.  It was a huge effort against a great team on natioinal TV.  We all know how the road back-to-backs have gone.  I WANT to say the C's will find a gear to grind out an ugly win with both teams scoring in the 80's… but this is type of game the C's have been losing.  So I'll say that it probably won't be pretty… and will probably be a loss… somewhere around 91-87.

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  • http://profile.typepad.com/karibisha Karibisha

    Pretty good guess…. another loss….its becoming more of an expectation than a win these days… dropped down to 3rd seed… won’t be surprised if end up 4th if keep losing… same as last year