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Red's Army

Danny gambled and lost, so now he’s going all in

RedsArmyAdmin February 25, 2011 Uncategorized 14 Comments

All in

It was a busy summer for Danny Ainge.  After working out deals for Paul Pierce and Ray Allen, he had to find their back-ups and fill the hole left by an injured Kendrick Perkins.  And he did a pretty good job of it too, constructing a roster that was deep just about everywhere except one:  The back up small forward spot. 

Marquis Daniels was always the wild card on this team.  We could always look at this roster and, no matter how much we loved these guys, say "man, we're kind of screwed if Quis goes down, huh?"  Without Daniels, the Celtics would have to cobble a back up for Pierce… or just let him play 40 minutes a game.  And since that's not really feasible if you want him to last through the Finals, it was pretty important that Daniels be available all, or most, of the year. 

Danny Ainge put a pretty big bet down on Marquis.  And he lost.  Marquis didn't suffer a sprained knee or a jammed thumb or even a broken leg.  Marquis suffered a bizarre injury that left him temporarily paralyzed and potentially needing surgery for him to even resume his career.  No amount of Von Wafer or "hey, let's try Baby at the 3 for a few minutes" was going to change the fact that Danny lost his bet.  Marquis was gone, and the Celtics absolutely had to do something about it. 

And Danny did what a lot of gamblers do when their stacks suddenly get short.  You skip past the little bets and you go all in on the first decent hand you get dealt.  The "Anthony Parkers" of the world weren't going to cut it anymore.  Danny, looking at his team, his payroll, and the team's future, decided to lay all his chips on this one move. 

So out went a popular, young, hard-nosed center who helped anchor the toughest defense in the game, and in came a a young, athletic swing man with a ton of potential.  Out went popular teammates and in come unknowns.  Out went the benefit of the doubt and in came "Man… I hope to hell you know what you're doing."

Danny saw the Celtics' early season success without Kendrick Perkins and figured the Celtics can recapture that.  Adding a guy like Green to that mix… and adding Krstic instead of Semih to that mix… along with the return of Delonte West and whomever else the C's can bring in presented a situation too enticing for Danny to pass up.  

So he pushed his chips to the middle of the table. Danny's flipped his cards and now he can only stand and watch to see if the rest of the hand will fall his way.  And just like poker, this will take some luck.  Danny doesn't know if the system will truly work for Jeff Green and Nenad Krstic.  Danny doesn't know if the team is too devastated to fully embrace the new plan.  Danny doesn't know who really will get bought out… and if those guys will even sign here once they do.  He's got to get a little lucky and hope all of those things work out for him.  It's entirely possible that they will.  But it's also possible that hey won't.

And just like poker, if this hand doesn't pan out, Danny's busted.  Fans will not forgive him.  The Celtics express, despite some injuries, was steamrolling to the Finals.  If they get derailed before they get there… or worse… if they lose to the Oklahoma City Thunder if they do get there… then Danny's reputation is done.  All of the other moves… some of which were really, really great moves… won't matter anymore because this "what have you done for me lately" society doesn't care what you've done.  They only care about what you're doing.  Your resume is just a piece of paper and subsection in your Wikipedia bio.  The move you just made is what we're invested in now. 

Danny Ainge is all in. We're going to have to wait and see how the hand plays out.

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  • http://profile.typepad.com/6p01157053529f970b zippittyay

    Great piece.

  • http://profile.typepad.com/6p01156f5d5008970c Jester00

    right now we holding AK suited pre-flop going agianst a pair of Queens so it’s a coin flip. the flop or regular season will tell us how we look before turn or playoffs and river or Finals. just hope we are not drawing dead on the turn!

  • http://profile.typepad.com/ntortora Nate

    We get it – you’re upset they lost Perkins – when push comes to shove, do you think he would have signed in Boston for a bargain? The fact is, Boston lost out when they couldn’t get Ronnie Brewer or Matt Barnes this offseason.
    I agree Quis is a large part of the reason Perkins is gone, but let’s see what Perkins does in OKC, before we can say this is an awful trade. Perk played good D – but has a poor offensive game outside the paint. In an ideal world, Boston signs Brewer or Barnes in the offseason, but that’s not Ainge’s fault.
    Regardless, it’s time to move on. Kendrick Perkins will be okay. This whole – I felt like a family member died thing, is a bit overkill.

  • http://profile.typepad.com/redsarmy Red’s Army

    you realize it was Kevin Garnett who said it felt like we lost a family member… right?

  • http://profile.typepad.com/rtcoaster Shawncvd

    This should pan out.There are buy outs who will want to come here. Ainge righted the C’s biggest weakness . The wing rotation is now fantastic PP/Ray/Green plus Wafer and D West.
    Also Doc has mentioned Rondo will benefit with Green spelling Posey’s role. Remember that the winning line up our championship year was relying heavily on in the fourth quarters was Posey playing PF and KG at center with Ray, Paul and Rondo.
    So going back to your poker analogy you could argue Ainge’s first lost bet was losing Posey and not finding a proper replacement. Well Green is the closest thing we’ve had to Posey. I’m very intrigued to see the new look team tomorrow.

  • http://profile.typepad.com/ntortora Nate

    I absolutely realize that – my post was intended to be more of a blanket statement. Regardless, likening this whole thing to losing a family member – is sort of melodramatic. KG is being paid $19 million to play basketball – leave the sentimental stuff up to the fans. If KG and the Big 3 are as great as we give them credit for, their leadership will make things work. I hate to think the success of the Big 3 has always hinged on a low-post banger like Perk.

  • http://profile.typepad.com/sothewind Lee in Oregon

    Quisy wasnt the only gamble. Hell, they could have given TA another tear at 3 mil, practically peanuts, and not worried about Quisy.
    The JO signing was a HUGE gamble. You dont need to be a GM to know and see how broken down this guy was and is. And this for 2 years?
    So he loses on both counts, and neither is a real surprise. I still dont see why they blow up a near championship roster for Jeff Green. I’m gonna puke the next time I hear someone say how underutilized he is or how he can guard 3 different positions. OKC is not a deep team, Jeff Green doesnt guard anybody at any position very well. He’s not Posey, Posey could shoot.
    I’ve been a big supporter of DA until yesterday. And Leon Powe and certainly Troy Murphy arent gonna make me feel any better about winning a championship. Stupidist trade in the history of the Celtics, especially timing wise. I agree they needed a b/u for Pierce but certainly not at this cost.

  • http://profile.typepad.com/6p01156f5d5008970c Jester00

    only issue with that is Jeff shoots 30% from downtown and Posey shot close to 40%

  • http://profile.typepad.com/robertdt Robertdt

    Interesting analogy, but I also think the ‘all-in’ is a little dramatic. We do not have the player budget to keep perk long-term along with everybody else. A healthy perk goes a long way to beating orlando, but perk may not be healthy and we need more wing help to beat miami, chi, and orlando not to mention NYK. Ainge is icily counting cards, he left his emotions at the door.

  • http://profile.typepad.com/probskblltalk ProBskbllTalk

    I know I am in the minority, but I believe that this move will pan out, not only for this year, but for the next couple of years.
    2012, celtics have two guys signed… dwight howard is a free agent.. bigger gamble there if that is his plan.
    I trust in Shaq, Nenad, JO, and whoever else joins the front court

  • http://profile.typepad.com/probskblltalk ProBskbllTalk

    I agree with Robertdt

  • http://profile.typepad.com/pricehook44 Ainge still lives

    Wish ya the best Perk. Long live Ainge

  • http://profile.typepad.com/thecake2die4 Ruth Less

    THAT’S JUST ONE ASPECT …
    THE WHOLE POINT OF THE STORY IS THAT, DANNY AINGE KILLED TEAM UBUNTU, THE ONLY ONE OF ITS KIND IN THE NBA …. AND I DON’T THINK THE BOYS ARE OKAY WITH IT … THE 12=POINT LOSS IN DENVER RIGHT AFTER THE TRADE WAS A CLEAR STATEMENT… AND IF ANYONE WLSE IS SAYING THAT BASKETBALL IS ALL ABOUT A GAME, YOU’RE WRONG PEOPLE.. WE LIVE BECAUSE OUR HEARTS BEAT.. PEOPLE DIE FROM HEARTBREAK,. DEPRESSION IS NOT AN EASY THING TO DEAL WITH..AND WHY DO I KNOW THAT DANNY’S MOVE IS STUPID???
    >>> THE ANSWER WILL BE IN THE NEXT GAMES, NO MATTER WHO HE PUTS IN THERE FOR BACK0UP, WHATEVER !!! JUST THE SIMPLE REASON THAT HE HAS KILLED TEAM UBUNTU IS MORE THAN ENOUGH TO SAY THAT HE HAS FAILED !!!
    I MYSELF HAVE JUMPED SHIP >>> ALONG WITH A MILLION OTHERS … AND YOU CAN SEE THAT IN THE TICKET SALES IN THE FUTURE … SEE HOW BOSTONIANS WILL REACT AT THE TD GARDEN TILLS >>> DANNY DOESN’T HAVE A HEART, AND BIG MEN CRYING IS NOT MELODRAMA … I KNOW OF A LOT OF BIG MEN WHO ARE STILL CRYING UP TO NOW, FROM PERK’S LOSS >>> CURSING AINGE!!!
    KARMA ESCAPES NO ONE!!!

  • http://profile.typepad.com/thecake2die4 Ruth Less

    SORRY, THAT SHOULD HAVE READ, 14-POINT LOSS TO DENVER ON THE NIGHT OF THE TRADE DEADLINE