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Accuscore Game Preview: Celtics vs. Timberwolves

RedsArmyAdmin January 3, 2011 Uncategorized 5 Comments

This preview is provided by Accuscore and is not written by any members of RedsArmy.com.  Predictions are based on computer simulations 

The Boston Celtics are heavy 86 percent favorites over the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves are shooting 43.2 percent from the field which is significantly lower than the Celtics who are forecasted to shoot 51.3 percent. The Celtics have the rebounding advantage at 45.2 to 38.5. The Celtics are committing fewer turnovers at 12.6 vs 16.6 for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves are making 6.7 three pointers on 38.2 percent from three point range. The Celtics are making 5.9 three pointers on 38 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA—PTS: Michael Beasley 21, Paul Pierce 21.3 ASSISTS: Luke Ridnour 4.5, Rajon Rondo 12 REBOUNDS: Kevin Love 13.9, Glen Davis 8.2 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at BOS -9 TOTAL 202. WIN-LOSS Minnesota Timberwolves 9-25 Boston Celtics 25-7 ATS Minnesota Timberwolves 17-17 Sweat Barometer 0.1 Boston Celtics 17-15 Sweat Barometer 2.9 OVER-UNDER Minnesota Timberwolves 18-15 Avg Over/Under Line 2 Boston Celtics 16-16 Avg Over/Under Line -2.2 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD – POINT SPREAD PICKS Minnesota Timberwolves 18-16 Boston Celtics 15-12 OVER-UNDER PICKS Minnesota Timberwolves 20-12 Boston Celtics 18-13

'10-11 SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Celtics

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES ATS RECORD BOSTON CELTICS ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
Record on the Road 2-17, 11% -1500 Record at Home 13-2, 87% 1100 Boston Celtics
VS Boston Celtics 0-0 No Games VS Minnesota Timberwolves 0-0 No Games N/A
vs Team .500 or Better 2-17, 11% -1670 vs Team Under .500 14-3, 82% 1070 Boston Celtics
Record As Road Underdog 2-17, 11% -1670 Record As Home Favorite 12-2, 86% 980 Boston Celtics
After 1 or More Days Off 11-14, 44% -440 Playing Back-to-Back Days 3-5, 38% -250 Boston Celtics

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the 2010 Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New Orleans Hornets

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES ATS RECORD BOSTON CELTICS ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
Record on the Road 1-7, 12% -600 Record at Home 4-1, 80% 300 Boston Celtics
VS Boston Celtics 0-0 No Games VS Minnesota Timberwolves 0-0 No Games N/A
vs Team .500 or Better 0-7, 0% -770 vs Team .500 or Better 5-0, 100% 500 Boston Celtics
Record As Road Underdog 1-7, 12% -670 Record As Home Favorite 4-1, 80% 290 Boston Celtics
After 1 or More Days Off 3-7, 30% -470 Playing Back-to-Back Days 2-1, 67% +90 Boston Celtics

OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is not trending over or under

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES RECORD BOSTON CELTICS RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD '10-11 9-9, 50% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME '10-11 8-9, 47% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 4-4, 50% Over HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 3-5, 38% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER IN '09-10 24-16, 60% Over HOME OVER-UNDER IN '09-10 24-28, 46% Over OVER
vs Teams Averaging <100 PTS at Home 12-7, 63% OVER vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road 7-5, 58% OVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD ('10-11 SEASON) – Minnesota Timberwolves Road Games: 10-9, 53% +10 Boston Celtics Home Games: 8-7, 53% +30 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Minnesota Timberwolves Road Games: 5-3, 62% +170 Boston Celtics Home Games: 3-2, 60% +80

OVER-UNDER RECORD ('10-11 SEASON) – Minnesota Timberwolves Road Games: 10-8, 56% + 110 Boston Celtics Home Games: 9-6, 60% + 219 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Minnesota Timberwolves Road Games: 6-2, 75% + 346 Boston Celtics Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 73

SIDE VALUE ('10-11 SEASON) – Minnesota Timberwolves Road Games: 14-5, 74% +299 Boston Celtics Home Games: 6-9, 40% +-507 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Minnesota Timberwolves Road Games: 6-2, 75% +21 Boston Celtics Home Games: 3-2, 60% +93

After the jump, more than 10,000 simulations speak

This is a simulation provide by Accuscore.  This page automatically refreshes to a new game once the Celtics game is over.

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  • http://profile.typepad.com/6p01156f5d5008970c Jester00

    reading his makes my brain all hurty!

  • Patrick

    Seriously this shit needs to be more organized so that it reads better.

  • http://scal4three.blogspot.com/ SCAL-4-THREE

    In short, Boston just needs to show up in the paint. They are much better than the Wolves both on offense and on defense, but Kevin Love will take advantage if Boston’s big men don’t really show up like they didn’t last night against the Bargnani-less Raptors. Can’t wait to watch Luke Ridnour and Sebastian Telfair try to keep up with Rondo.

  • greenbeand

    give credit to the refs as they kept the wolves in it

  • Phil

    Great point about Love – he crushed the Celts on the boards. Why was Baby out on the 3 point line all night? Love and lack of presence by the Celts bigs was the reason the Celts almost lost.