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The case for, and against extending Rondo now

RedsArmyAdmin October 23, 2009 Uncategorized 11 Comments

Rondo nets

Last night, while doing the 8th Seed show, I said I was going to do a post imploring Danny Ainge to sign Rajon Rondo now.  And while my stance hasn't changed… I can see the logic for not doing the deal this week, and waiting until next summer.

Extend him:

We love Rondo.  I think he's the guy who gets the keys when the Big 3 are gone.  Why not sit down with him, work things out, and show you're commitment to him with a contract extension.  Right now, there are a few things he has to work on before becoming an "elite" player… which could drive his price down.  We keep tossing around the 5 year, $50 million number.  If that is, indeed, close to the number that would get the deal done… then just do it now before he figures everything out. 

Look at Glen Davis.  Was he a $3 million player at the beginning of last season?  Nope.  Not even close.  He was worth maybe half that.  Then he developed his jumper.  And then he had the shot in Orlando. 

What happens if Rondo's shot starts falling April?  What happens if he closes the holes and he's not signed?  Why risk the extra money that will cost you flexibility down the road?

Wait 'till the summer:

If the Celtics truly are worried about his maturity level and whether he can handle a big contract, then maybe one more season of growing up can help.

The key to all of this is Rondo will be a restricted free agent.  You're not running the risk of letting him go if you're willing to match offers.  And there will be significant offers.

Rondo would be part of that class as a restricted free agent, true,
but at worst that means he’d likely be forced to sign an offer sheet
with one of the many teams that have positioned themselves to have
significant salary-cap space next July and then return to the Celtics
if the offer sheet is matched. Some team out there will inevitably test
Boston's resolve if it gets that far.

“It’s not the worst situation,” one Rondo confidante insists. “He
will get paid. It won’t affect him if he has to wait. He is fearless.”

But if you can stomach the offers, and you know you're willing to match them… then letting Rondo grow one more year might not be a bad thing.  The stories of his missteps… his tactical mistakes as he attempts to lead a team… are starting to be told.  But he's young… and growth can be good.

And again… look at Glen Davis.  If the Celtics put word out there that they're going to match ANY offer to Rondo, then other teams are less likely to play the game with Danny Ainge.  Why give Rondo an offer, even a max offer if you want to test the Celtics, if you know Danny is only going to wait the full week to match the deal…. while your plans b, c and d all start to sign offer sheets somewhere else? 

The end result, either way, SHOULD be the Celtics signing Rondo.  He's a unique player who is only beginning to scratch the surface of what he can do.  He's already a great player who will very likely only get better and better.  He's got an ability to make players better.

But the question is… WHEN should the Celtics make it happen?

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  • ThatGuyOverTheOcean

    Problem is, next summer A LOT of teams will be screwed when they’ll realize that the only big name moving will (probably) be Bosh, and out of their desperation for throwing last few years, they’ll throw a huge amount of money to the remaining players. So, if Danny waits until next summer, it means he’s gonna match max offers.

  • BigMck

    What young player doesn’t have to earn his leadership role with vets?
    I hope people don’t overreact to that story about Rondo calling the team meeting. I applaud him for the attempt.

  • Bas Rutten Jr.

    Sign him asap. That simple.
    On another note; any chance of making a ‘Ball Don’t Lie’ shirt???

  • Danno

    I want to see Rondo signed. I just don’t want the Celts to tie their hands for too long, for too much money if he doesn’t fill out the dead spots in his game.

  • Jason

    Here here.

  • Jason

    Agree.

  • redStoolsArmy
  • Double P Reppin the B

    It does not make sense to me to wait on this. If the team is planning on matching any offers next summer then why on Earth would they want to wait? The only reason this deal doesnt get done should be because Rondo doesn’t want to sign an extension, not because Danny wants to “wait”. Its ridiculous. His price is only going to go up and Rondo knows that, which is why he won’t sign an extension. This deal is not getting done because of Rondo, not because of the Celtics people. Rondo wants his MONEY
    Don’t be surprised teams who miss out on some big name players next season throw a lot of money Rondo’s way. and teams can get tricky, they may front load the deal with a HUGE salary the first year or two which would make it difficult for the celtics to match the offer. It is not as easy as just oh we can match the offer. The cap can be played with.

  • Lakerhater

    Yeah maybe.. but alot of people assume that teams will HAVE the money to throw. Is his price only going to go up? That’s what the guy who tried to sell me a condo in boca two years ago told me too.
    I’m not saying he isn’t deserving because he is, but its a different economy than it was when paul cashed in. I won’t be mad if they extend him, but I’ll understand if Danny takes a wait and see attitude.

  • Bas Rutten Jr.

    Thanks man. :) I could go without the head-banded bball though.

  • Jason

    I don’t think it’s that simple. BBD’s not a franchise guy, so I understand the wait-and-see approach with him. Rondo is, so take care of him. I don’t mean coddle him (yeah, right, like they’ve been doing that), but gestures of confidence and wanting him around do mean something. Don’t play games with the guy if you want him to be loyal back and to be your guy for years to come.