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Red's Army

Why The Celtics Will Win

RedsArmyAdmin June 3, 2008 Uncategorized 13 Comments

Defense wins championships, or so I've heard. This is the number one reason why the Celtics will beat the Lakers in the NBA Finals. And then there's the Big 3. Throughout the playoffs, the C's have proven they can win with 2 of the 3 playing well. If Kobe struggles, the Lakers lose. If Pierce struggles, the Celtics still have a great chance of winning. Get it?

Rajon Rondo vs Derek Fisher: This matchup scares me. As Jeff Van Gundy has astutely pointed out, Rondo hasn't played great 1-on-1 defense. And while he has an impressive turnover-to-assist ratio, he remains unreliable on offense. Fisher has shot well in the playoffs. He also has a knack for knocking down crunch-time jumpers. And with the defense collapsing on Kobe, chances are he'll have some open looks Edge – Fisher.

Ray Allen vs Kobe Bryant: We're all glad the old Ray Allen is back and I'm confident he'll stick around for this series. When Ray's on his game, the Celtics can hang with any team offensively. Kobe is Kobe. How the Celtics attack him remains to be seen. Will they beat him up or force him to shoot from the perimeter? I don't think it matters because the dude is still going to average 30+ pts. Ray clearly can't stop Bryant but he can force him to work on the defensive end. If the point differential between these guys is 10 or so, we'll be alright. Edge – Kobe.

Paul Pierce vs Vladimir Radmanovic: Pierce dropped the hammer on both the Cavs and Pistons with clutch performances. He'll be able to do anything he wants with VladRad. I expect Phil Jackson to shuffle defenders. Radmanovic can do very little but spot up and hit jumpers. He's a super soft 6-10. Edge – Pierce.

Kevin Garnett vs Lamar Odom: He's been the Celtics most consistent scorer and rebounder throughout the playoffs. There isn't a single person on the Lakers roster who can guard him. Even though it's not his nature to force things, KG should be more aggressive. At the very least, get to the free throw line a bit more. (Sick of hearing this point?) Despite a few rough games, Odom's played pretty well. He'll need to continue rebounding well to keep the C's off the offensive glass. Edge – Garnett.

Kendrick Perkins vs Pau Gasol: For lack of an original phrase, Perk is a beast. At least in some games. The Lakers are not physical down low and if Perkins is smart about it, he should be able to push guys around and own the paint. Gasol is a damn good offensive player. He can score and pass. Depending on who's on the floor at the time, KG could cover him and most likely – shut him down. Edge: Gasol.

Benches: Now that Lindsey Hunter is gone, look for Eddie House to re-emerge. I have this feeling Doc will use Leon Powe to guard the Laker bigs who love to roam. Posey will get plenty of minutes on Kobe. PJ Brown will continue to see quality minutes. As for the Lakers, what's the big deal about Vujacic, Walton, Farmar and Turiaf? I don't see how the Lakers bench is decidely better than Boston's. Edge – Even

Doc Rivers vs Phil Jackson: Phil Jackson is the most overrated coach of all-time. But this is clearly the least-talented team he's ever brought to the Finals. Doc continues to rub people the wrong way with his lack of a consistent rotation – but it's working. And he never gets credit for the making the right moves (playing Posey instead of Ray for the 4th quarter of Game 6 against Detroit). While Jackson is the more experienced guy, I don't see coaching playing a major role in this series. We've all seen basketball players in the huddles during timeouts, half of them aren't even paying attention. Edge – Even.

The Lakers may have the best player, but the Celtics have more better players. That – along with defense, rebounding and home court advantage will be enough to win this series in 6 games.

Today's Links: Globe – Ray Doesn't Hate Kobe Anymore | Notebook – Tony Out, Ray Loves the Sleeve | HeraldKobe Better Than Michael | Kobe Leads Lakers Production | Luke Walton Weaned in Green | Officiating Might Mar Finals | LA Times - Lakers Still Figuring Out Matchups

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  • double P reppin the B

    it boils down to two very evenly matched teams who are the best in their respective conferences battling it out to win a ring, the individual matchups and coaching are going to have some weight in the series but its really gonna be all about who wants it more and what team leaves it all out on the court. Coaching can only get you so far, the will of the players is really what is going to determine this series and if you want to argue that having Phil Jackson means your going to get a ring, your wrong. He might help in certain situations to calm players down and make good decisions but that doesnt mean he can win you a championship, Jackson has been where Doc is before, and he won, so what is the difference?

  • Al

    I like the Rondo – Fisher matchup as long as it’s not Rondo who doubles down on Kobe – he needs to stay with Fish as he will hit the open jumper just like Billups did when Rondo left him.
    Offensively Rondo can blow by Fish any time he wants – it’s just what he does after that that matters. I think edge Rondo there as long as he plays smart D.
    I think rebounding will be very important – If KG and Perk box out Odom I think we’ll do ok there and more than ok in the series. The good news is Boston outrebounded the Cavs who are a great board team and they killed the pistons on the glass…..

  • Lakerhater

    The only thing inferno’s posts lack (besides reason) is “cavs in 6″. Seriously, the Atl, Lebroners and the Pisston fans were way better. I hope the actual lakers are better than bloggers or this will be gay. Not that there’s anything wrong with that inferno you flamer you.

  • Ryan

    Its truly not as impressive as requiring 7 games to beat a couple of vastly inferior teams who wouldn’t even make the playoffs in the Western Conference. Doc Rivers has simply been legendary this post season. I completely understand why he should be “EVEN” with a 9 time Champion who has already been voted in the hall of fame.

  • Jester00

    What are the vagas odds Scallie sees the floor and/or takes a shot?????

  • ShooterMcGavin

    im not a huge fan of the 2-3-2 format this series
    why the hell do they change it for the finals?
    sportscenter just said that allen and kobe hate each other because after the shaq trade allen said “kobe will demand either help or a trade in a few years because hes that selfish”
    sportscenter..during their kobe dick sucking fest…failed to mention ray allen was actually right

  • Matty S.

    Kurtis you are WAY of my man. Maybe just MAYBE I will give you point 1 of your argument, throwing out the regular season. This was apparent in the first few rounds of the playoffs. But please give me a break on the idea that because we have home court its a disadvantage to us. That is just crazy talk. And don’t talk fatigue either. First of all, EVERYONE and their mother tried to play the fatigue card on the Celtics already and they were proven wrong. Why would it be any different in this series? Fatigue won’t mean crap in the finals. Do you REALLY think Pierce, Garnett, and Ray will run out of steam when they are playing for a damn RING? I doubt it. Obviously we have no answer for Kobe, he is GOING to score. You just better hope someone other than Gasol can hit some shots…

  • http://www.kurtisbillard.com kurtisbillard

    I like your column, but you’re wrong.
    Here’s my take.
    And just so you know, I’m a Raptors fan and have no love for the Lakers.
    But they are indeed not just going to win….but sweep
    http://kurtisbillard.wordpress.com/2008/06/02/nba-finals-preview-lakers-vs-celtics/

  • Braddymac

    Jackson’s alleged coaching greatness is completely undone when he’ll have to contend with Vlad covering Pierce. Or will that be one of his “great” bench players. Pierce will have a field day.

  • Paul

    Sometimes, basketball really isn’t all that difficult. Boston can keep up with LA offensively but Boston is light years ahead of LA on defense. Boston in 6 (please clinch it at home).

  • Jim

    You had me till Edge-Fisher. I like that match up for Rondo.

  • http://khandorssportsblog.wordpress.com/ khandor

    If the Celtics win Game 1 … they will win the series.

  • Rush

    first it was “we’ll shock the world!”
    then came cavs in 5…er 6…nope 7.
    after which came the infamouse sweep in 5/6.
    now its nobody can guard kobe. lakers in 5 at most. blah blah blah.
    sigh…nobody ever learns.